EssilorLuxottica’s Q3 performance was ahead of our as well as market estimates. Positive momentum was witnessed in both business segments (PS and DTC). Once again, the top-line growth (at constant currency) was led by North America. We do not expect the global supply-chain issues to impact considerably a vertically-integrated and innovation-led firm like EL. The improved outlook is also reassuring for the investor community. We will improve the estimates and target price.
Companies: EssilorLuxottica SA
Benefiting from the strong market recovery, EssilorLuxottica witnessed an acceleration in sales in Q2 with optical growing faster than the sun category. Interestingly, the outperformance was led by the US-heavy retail business. Wholesale also witnessed a step-up, though it lagged due to its European exposure. Robust sales growth and strict cost management ensured a beat on profitability too. Given the sturdy results, the FY21 outlook has been raised. With GrandVision now in the bag and governanc
After two failed attempts, EssilorLuxottica has finally won the legal battle against GrandVision. While the French-Italian giant now has the option to pull the plug on the deal without paying any penalties, we believe it would instead go-ahead with the deal but at a lower price. Importantly, EssilorLuxottica now has an upper hand to renegotiate terms and, considering that GrandVision is no longer in a position to dictate the terms, it might agree a lower price.
2021 has got off to an encouraging start with the group capitalising on the rebound in the US and Chinese markets. Interestingly, strong momentum was visible in prescription lenses and optical retail and sun business was also back on track. Note that Q1 21 sales reported growth above Q1 19 levels and management is now confident to deliver a FY21 performance at least comparable to pre-pandemic levels. The integration process continued to gain momentum and full-year synergy targets were reiterated
Sales (at CER) were back in the black in Q4 20, driven by the resilience of the lenses segment and the acceleration in the retail segment, led by e-commerce. Management believes that the business environment will begin to normalise from Q2 21 and, combined with an innovative product pipeline, it has the ambition to deliver a performance comparable to pre-pandemic levels. Importantly, the governance structure is being overhauled and Del Vecchio is set to tighten his grip over the company.
The Q3 beat was driven by the ‘resilient’ lenses segment. Wholesale saw a significant improvement, led by the independent channel, and retail bounced back with optical banners and e-commerce leading the pack. Developed markets returned to positive growth while emerging markets remained a drag. A further acceleration was visible in October but, due to fresh lockdowns, the management remains prudently confident. With optical considered as an ‘essential’ category, the sales impact could be less sev
As expected, Q2 was worse than Q1 with sales plummeting 46.1%. However, revenue hit a trough in April, followed by a marked sequential recovery in May and June. Lenses saw almost flat sales in June, benefiting from pent-up in demand for prescription products and new product launches. Retail is approaching normalcy on the back of progressive improvements in traffic and higher conversion rates. Wholesale is a bit behind, though the progressive recovery of independents and key accounts should provi
Q1 was weak as the solid growth witnessed in January-February was offset by a material decline in March due to COVID-19. Despite the acceleration in online sales, Q2 should be worse. However, considering that c.70% of group sales are exposed to resilient optical prescription products, one could see a pent-up in demand when the situation normalises. Early signs from China have been encouraging and, if the recovery is solid, the board might consider a special dividend, though the FY19 dividend has
FY19 ended on a high with an acceleration in sales in Retail, Wholesale and Sunglasses and a steady show in Lenses in Q4. However, given the COVID-19 outbreak, momentum could lose pace in H1 20. Margins should also remain in check as the benefits of synergies would be reinvested into future growth opportunities. Unfortunately, a fraud at the Thailand plant has brought governance issues at the forefront once again. Nonetheless, a go-ahead for the GrandVision deal should come on time.
EssilorLuxottica witnessed a robust acceleration in sales in Q3 (+5.2% at CER), driven by new product launches in the lenses business, good dynamics in retail (both offline and online) and steady growth in fast-growing markets. However, the wholesale business lost pace due to softer demand in the Asia-Pacific region. Given 9M 19 sales of +4.3% and considering the ongoing launch of the next-gen Transitions lens in other countries, the FY19 sales growth target of +3.5-5% is comfortably within reac
EL is likely to outpace the eyewear/eyecare industry in the mid/long term, driven by a shift towards an integrated network business model and an increasing focus on innovation and digitalisation. Geographically, the fast-growing markets would be a key source of growth, benefiting from a growing middle class. Growth in profits would be higher than sales on the back of operational leverage, favourable product mix and synergies from the mega-merger.
Sales momentum accelerated in Q2 led by lenses, sunglasses and wholesale, though retail saw a deceleration. Given the new product launches, momentum is likely to accelerate further in H2 and thus the FY19 sales targets seem attainable. As anticipated, profitability slumped in H1, due to an increased marketing spend to support new product launches and, given the seasonality of the business, we foresee margin compression on a sequential basis. Note that the EssilorLuxottica integration process has
After putting lenses into frames, EL’s decision to augment the retail presence, particularly in Europe, looks like a strategic move. Given that EL and GV have limited business overlap, the antitrust approvals should be obtained in a timely fashion. Also, the integration process between the French and Italians is now in full swing and the amalgamation of GV should be smooth, given Luxottica has a history of incorporating retail networks. With so much on its plate, the appointment of a new CEO has
EssilorLuxottica is considering a takeover of Dutch eyewear retailer, GrandVision. Although the deal seems a good strategic fit, given GrandVision’s mass market business model and increasing focus on emerging markets, we have concerns with respect to the potential integration of the deal. Anti-trust authorities might also be a spoilsport once again.
A decent Q1 in which Luxottica witnessed acceleration in sales, driven by retail, while Essilor lost pace, due to unfavourable weather in the US. Given the new product launches, which are backed by effective marketing campaigns, Q2 has got off to a good start and we anticipate an acceleration in sales from hereon. Re-activation of the bolt-on acquisition strategy would provide a further push. With FY19 financial targets within reach and synergies now in execution mode, we eagerly await the upcom
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Trinistar Liverpool S.a r.L announces its potential listing of a newly formed single asset company which will own the Capital Building in Liverpool on the IPSX. Upon admission the Company would become a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Capital Building occupies close to a 3.5 acre freehold site in the centre of Liverpool’s business district; the building comprises c425,000 square feet of predominantly of
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Interim results to 30 September were marked by a return to pre-pandemic sales levels for the core business, with revenues rising 81% to £5.7m, which included c.£1.2m of COVID-related revenues. An adjusted EBITDA loss of £2.4m reflected the incremental costs of gearing up to supply the DHSC with COVID-19 antigen tests, which did not materialise. With the contract with DHSC now having expired, focus turns to other commercial opportunities. The core Health & Nutrition EBITDA of £1.15m covered the c
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Interims results reflect the high level of Group corporate activity, but also a better performance on cash preservation with the Group incurring lower expenditure. In H1, focus was on evolving the business with a NASDAQ listing and the collective £23.8m (net) refinancing; in H2 attention turns back to the clinical pipeline. We await important topline efficacy Part A data from the Phase I/II of MRx-4DP0004 in asthma - a moment that may validate the live biotherapeutic approach in asthma. We also
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NetScientific (NSCI), the international life sciences and sustainability technology investment and commercialisation group, has arranged an investment of $1m (ca. £0.75 million) into EpiBone Inc, a Life sciences portfolio company. EpiBone is an innovative regenerative medicine company developing a pioneering technology offering a transformational approach to personalised bone graft development for skeletal repair. NSCI's latest investment in EpiBone comprises $734k from its own balance sheet and
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H1 EBITDA declined by 45% YoY, albeit this was slightly better than we had anticipated after the pre-close update in August. The beat was cost related (efficiencies/savings). There was a significant gross margin drag though and, while transitory in nature and diminishing in H2, this means further savings need to be realised to hit full year forecasts. This is our view and we retain a good level of confidence in next year’s forecasts. Having de-rated, valuation looks very undemanding now on just
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Hostmore plc (MORE.L) has demerged from Electra Private Equity PLC, and the shares admitted to the Premium Segment of the Main Market.. Hostmore is a growing hospitality business with its current operations focused on the American-themed casual dining brand, Fridays, and the cocktail-led bar and restaurant brand, 63rd+1st.
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Ashtead Tech, subsea equipment rental and solutions provider for the g
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On track to meet FYApr22E profit forecasts, as investment in chronic condition management solutions accelerates
The digital clinical decision support company has announced its unaudited interim results for the half year ending 31 October 2021. Revenue for the six-month period has held well at £1,618,439 (2020: £1,716,424). Profit before tax is £21,427 (2020: £150,556) and profit after tax £137,352 (2020: £224,825). DXS finished the period with cash on hand of £543,000.
DXS commented that result
Companies: DXS International Plc
Novo Nordisk reported strong Q3 results, with growth again driven by the GLP-1 diabetes portfolio and launch euphoria for Wegovy (obesity drug). Interestingly, management upgraded its 2021 guidance for the third straight quarter. While the group continues to make sound progress in the diabetes market, with its ever-increasing global market share, lack of immediate growth catalysts beyond the largely mature diabetes market is a key impediment. Hence, our recommendation remains cautious.
Companies: Novo Nordisk (NOVO-B:CPH)Novo Nordisk A/S Class B (NOVO.B:CSE)
In Q2, Astra reported strong sales growth momentum, (again) driven by a strong showing in oncology, diabetes drug Farxiga and COVID-19 vaccine sales. Although there were some issues in R&I and CVRM. More importantly, at cost vaccine sales and mandatory VBP discounts in China weighed on profitability. While the profitability strain can sustain in H2 as well, one should find confidence from the robust potential of core pharma offerings and the addition of high-growth and excellent-margin Alexion,
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Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
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