Investment case review
Companies: Serinus Energy plc
While we were away….
….Joiners 5 new ones over last 3 weeks:
Yooma Wellness Inc (AQSE: YOOM), a global vertically integrated wellness platform that develops and markets a portfolio of CBD and wellness brands, announces it has joined the AQSE Growth Market. Yooma, together with its European deal coordinator, Chrystal Capital Partners LLP, have raised gross proceeds of GBP7.5m , at a price of C$0.90 (£0.5232) per share. Lorne Abony, Chairman of Yooma, said: "Yooma's listing on the AQSE provides
Companies: AXS ARE B90 I3E MSYS ORR SEN SUR SNX VAST
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C: Operation update in Canada - Arrow has begun the process to tie-in the behind-pipe natural gas from the 03-26-52-23W5 exploration well located at West Pepper, The estimated on-stream costs are ~C$1.3 mm. Initial production is estimated at ~5.5. mmcf/d, suggesting a payback of four months.
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/ LN) C: Target of £3.80 per share: Advancing Equatorial Guinea – In our view, the highlight of t
Companies: AKRBP AKERBP JKX KOS SEN SNM SOU TETY TETY TXP CZA AOI ALV ALV AXL BP/ CNE CNE FEC HE1 EGY
Market update - 12/08/2021
Companies: Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. (FO:TSX)Serinus Energy plc (SEN:WAR)
H1 2021 results; Sancrai well update
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target of A$0.030 per share: Initiating Coverage: Oil, Green Hydrogen and Geothermal in Austria - ADX Energy is an A$20 mm market cap company with onshore licences in Austria. ADX is the 3rd upstream player and only foreign operator alongside OMV and RAG. ADX is generating value from its geological assets along three models. (i) It produces ~340 boe/d (light oil) from long life mature assets with material low cost
Companies: ADX DME GTE MATD SNM TLW SEN SQZ AKRBP AKERBP SDX CEG HUR MAHAA
Market update - 15/07/2021
Companies: Serinus Energy plc (SEN:WAR)i3 Energy Plc (I3E:LON)
Gas discovery in Sancrai-1 well
Oil posted its sixth straight weekly gain, the longest winning streak since December, as the standoff between OPEC+ ministers over output dragged on at the alliance's full meeting on Friday. Futures in New York rose 1.7% this week. Most members of the alliance backed a proposal to increase supply and extend the deal into later next year, but United Arab Emirates remains opposed, according to delegates. The ongoing dispute leaves open the possibility of a supply deficit in the global oil market o
Companies: COP COP EOG SEN AOI 88E ADME AEX CASP ENOG GTC HTG LAM I3E PFC SLE SDX UKOG VOG ZOL CVN EQNR EQNR
Spudding of Sancrai-1 exploration well
As midsummer’s day looms (where has this year gone?), there is greater optimism, in general, than may have been anticipated a few months ago. A post-pandemic, ‘vaccine-driven’ recovery demonstrated by increased consumer spending as lockdown measures are lifted has been one of the catalysts. The FTSE 100 has been range-bound in the last month 6,900-7,100. We have seen a combination of broadly positive company results across a range of sectors, further examples of M&A activity and a sequence of ne
Companies: AMYT ARBB ARW BAG BEG BONH BWNG CWK DNK EML EPWN FBD FA/ GPH GSF GNC HUW IGC INSE KAPE KP2 MMAG NRR NESF OTMP ROL RUA SEN SUR TON TOU TXP TGL VLS WINK
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY: EGY US/LN, PEN NO, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, VLU LN/VLE CN, ALV CN, AOI CN/SS, CNE CN, CNE LN, CPI CN, ENQ LN, GKP LN, HRB LN, HUR LN, IGAS LN, KOS US/LN, NOR NO, OKE NO, SENX LN, TXP LN/CN
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/LN)C; Target price of £3.80 per share: Removing oil price risk in 2021 - 1Q21 cashflow was negatively impact by a ~US$12 working capital movement that should be reversed on the upcoming period given that the c
Companies: AOI ALV CNE CNE CNE ENQ HUR KOS PEN PEN TAL SEN TETY TETY TXP EGY VLE
Q1 2021 results
Following Serinus Energy’s refinancing towards the end of last year, and recently issued prelims for FY2020A, we are pleased to introduce forecasts for this production-led operator in Romania and Tunisia. Whilst we had always fully appreciated the transformational impact of December’s debt-to-equity conversion deal, we are now struck by the significant cash generation indicated by our forecasts following a detailed modelling exercise. We expect low development costs, a progressive ramp-up in pro
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Serinus Energy plc.
We currently have 46 research reports from 7
Higher metal prices saw CAML achieve a 52% and 131% increase in EBITDA and FCF respectively in the first half of 2021, facilitating an attractive 8p interim dividend declaration (up 2p on H1 2020). The H1 results are tracking our full-year estimates, which if achieved would put CAML on an undemanding EV/EBITDA multiple of just 4x and see the shares yield over 8% at current market price. Given average copper, zinc and lead prices across H2 to date are around 10% higher than our pricing assumption
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
EQTEC have confirmed that they have completed acquisition of a 1.2MW gasification plant. The plant is expected to be operational by Q4 2022.
Companies: EQTEC PLC
Today's raise is a testament to support for Jubilee's copper strategy in Zambia and once again showcases Jubilee's keen eye for value enhancing deals. The increase in ownership in the Tailings projects to produce the raw material for the Sable and Leopard refineries will allow Jubilee to benefit more from the profits generated and also to make choices on development speed and product output to closely match the requirements of the Integrated refineries. Today consolidates Jubilee's position in
Companies: Jubilee Metals Group PLC
H1 2021 results
Companies: Union Jack Oil Plc
EQTEC and KIBO Plc have confirmed a strategic partnership in the 25MW Billingham Plant. Kibo are investing £3m to acquire 54.54% of the Project SPV, with the remaining 45.46% owned by EQTEC.
Production and cash holding update
Companies: Hurricane Energy Plc
• The latest horizontal well (BN-8H) has achieved a ten day initial oil production rate of ~7.6 mbbl/d. This is materially above our expectations of ~5 mbbl/d.
• As a result, current oil production is ~ 15.4 mbbl/d, also above our expectations of >13 mbbl/d. This is a very good result and with another development well due to be spudded shortly, the company is well on track to meet its production target of ~16 mbbl/d in 4Q21.
• The results of the BN-8H well could also have positive implications f
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Oil gained a third week as investors focused on the ongoing production shut-ins in the US Gulf of Mexico as more refineries have resumed operations nearly two weeks after Hurricane Ida tore through the region.
Futures in New York posted its longest set of weekly gains since July after ending Friday 2.3% higher. More than a million barrels a day of US offshore crude production remains shut in after Ida swept through the area nearly two weeks ago. Meanwhile, more Louisiana refineries are resumi
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Despite the significant ongoing challenges posed to the business as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the sudden passing of founder and Executive Chairman, Bruce Dingwall, Trinity has released a strong set of interim results, with the Company's resilient production and strong balance sheet providing a solid foundation from which it can meaningfully scale the business. Higher oil price realisations during H1/21 more than offset an 8% natural decline in production, leading to a 69% increase in
Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production Plc
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – BUY, Valuation 37.7p – Analyst call
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) – H1 performance and strong commodity prices deliver increased interim dividend and early repayment of debt
Eurasia Mining* (EUA LN) – Monchetundra detailed mining plan
Jubilee Metals Group (JLP LN) – Conditional placing to progress Zambian expansion
Empire Metals* (EEE LN) – Strategic technical review commenced at Eclipse project
Renascor Resources (RNU AU) – Major project status awarded by Austr
Companies: JAY CAML EEE EUA WRES JLP RNU
• Pharos is farming out 55% WI in El Fayum and North Beni Suef to IPR Energy. In return IPR will fund US$38.425 mm of Pharos’ retained share of the costs of future activities, equating to funding a ~US$85 mm gross programme (opex + capex). In addition, IPR will pay US$5 mm in cash on closing and a contingent consideration of US$0.175 mm for each US$1 over US$62/bbl (with a cap of US$92/bbl) each year from 2022 to 2025. This represents a potential additional consideration of U$20 mm (US$5 mm x 4
Companies: Pharos Energy PLC
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
Companies: AMYT BAG BVC BRSD CLG CML FBD GDWN INV MACF MNZS MIO NRR NSF NBI MATD PREM QFI RUA SCS STVG SUR SNX UPGS VAST VLS
Companies: IronRidge Resources Ltd
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – Greenland agrees new economic aid with the US
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Further drilling results from Kepez North
CATL (CATL N) – CATL may be joining the bidding war for Millennial Lithium Corp. as Chinese firms battle for EV material supply
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Senior mining engineer appointed to advance La India feasibility study
Cora Gold* (CORA LN) – Interims
Galileo Resources (GLR LN) – Sale of Kalahari Copper Belt licences expected to complete next week
Companies: AAU JAY CNR CORA GLR GGP POW RRR VUL SSW
Bond buyback offer and operational update