Oil prices notched the longest stretch of weekly losses since March with U.S. President Joe Biden keeping investors guessing about whether he'll act to tame higher energy prices that are driving a surge in inflation.
Futures in New York fell 1% on Friday, yet pared some losses near the end of the session after White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki declined to say whether Biden plans to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. She said the administration has been pushing oil-producing
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ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.045 per share: Independent prospective resources estimates – Prospective resources at the Anshof and OHO prospects have been independently estimated to hold respectively 6.6 mmboe and 17-24 mmboe with geological chance of success of respectively 43% and 24%. This is in line with the estimates previously provided by the company.
GeoPark (GPRK US) C; Target price of US$27 per share: Delivering
Companies: VLE TXP TLW SNM KOS GTE ADX AKRBP AKERBP ALV ALV DEC GPRK GPRK TETY TETY
• 3Q21 production was ~11.3 mbbl/d and is expected to average ~11.1 mbbl/d during FY21 as production is impacted by a back-log of work-overs. This suggests that 2H21 production would average about 10.9 mbbl/d, which is below the previous expectations of >11.3 mbbl/d.
• With three rigs plus one work-over unit now in operation, development activities at Blocks 3&4 will increase to grow production in 2022. We already forecast capex for the block at US$50 mm (US$34 mm in 2021).
• 3Q21 operating cas
Companies: Tethys Oil Ab (TETY:STO)Tethys Oil AB (TETY:OME)
ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price increased from A$0.040 to A$0.045 per share: 2P reserves increased by >150% with further upside possible – 2P reserves at the Zistersdorf and Gaiselberg fields in Austria as at 1 July 2021 have been estimated by the company’s reserves auditor at 1.8 mmboe. This represents a 154% increase versus previous estimates. The reserves increase reflects 32+ recompletions to access behind pipe reserves from d
Companies: GTE PPC ADX ALV ALV BP/ CE1 CNE CEG DNO DNO ENOG FEC GENL PXT SNM TETY TETY TGL EGY VOG ZEN
ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.040 per share: 3Q21 results – 3Q21 production in Austria was 275 boe/d, below our forecasts of ~315 boe/d due to well downtime. A well workover programme has started in October to add 100-150 boe/d. The Anshof-1 exploration well is expected to be spudded in December. An updated reserves report is expected in the coming weeks. The green Energy project is on track and engineering, planning and p
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Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Good production performance – Production in August was 3,493 boe/d, up 200 boe/d compared to July as all the new wells at Brooks now contribute to production, more than offsetting natural decline. Financials for August are broadly in line with our expectations. The three new Thorsby wells drilled in August and September could be on stream for November with an individual IP rate of ~2
Companies: ALV ALV CE1 COP COP EDR IOG RDSA TETY TETY TXP
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Brooks drilling update – The average of the four well program, over their respective 30-day initial production rates, was 176 boe/d (75% oil) per well. There was a significant variation in production results between the 4 wells. The variability was consistent with the results since Blackspur started drilling the Sunburst in 2014 and the average production of the four wells was close
Companies: XOM XOM CNE CNE CE1 DNO DNO GENL HUR I3E JSE TETY TETY
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C: Operation update in Canada - Arrow has begun the process to tie-in the behind-pipe natural gas from the 03-26-52-23W5 exploration well located at West Pepper, The estimated on-stream costs are ~C$1.3 mm. Initial production is estimated at ~5.5. mmcf/d, suggesting a payback of four months.
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/ LN) C: Target of £3.80 per share: Advancing Equatorial Guinea – In our view, the highlight of t
Companies: AKRBP AKERBP JKX KOS SEN SNM SOU TETY TETY TXP CZA AOI ALV ALV AXL BP/ CNE CNE FEC HE1 EGY
• 2Q21 Cash flow from operations were lower than we were anticipating (US$13.3 mm versus ~US$23 mm) as we had factored a steeper reversal of the high underlift position reported at the end of 1Q21. Tethys still had a ~91,000 underlift position (share of oil produced but not sold) at the end of 2Q21 that is expected to be reversed during the course of 2H21. In addition, we were expecting a normalization of current payables that continue to be low.
• On Block 3&4, three rigs and one work-over rig
ADX Energy (ADX AU) C: Target of A$0.040 per share: High impact newsflow in 2H21 - 2H21 will be very important for the company with significant upcoming newsflow. In our view, the most meaningful eventis the drilling of the Anshoff well in Austria. We were previously anticipating that the company would need a farm-in partner to fund the well. However, in the context of the current high oil price, >A$4 mm in cash at the end of June and
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Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)/Challenger Energy Group (CEG LN)C; Target of 1.20p per share: Completing financing – BPC has raised £6.9 mm of new equity. This is an important step for the company to fund the upcoming work programme. The key near term newsflow is the drilling of the saffran#2 appraisal well that could derisk ~11 mmbbl. The company has now changed its name to Challenger Energy and will trade under the ticker of “CEG LN”.
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price
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AUCTUS ON FRIDAY: EGY US/LN, PEN NO, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, VLU LN/VLE CN, ALV CN, AOI CN/SS, CNE CN, CNE LN, CPI CN, ENQ LN, GKP LN, HRB LN, HUR LN, IGAS LN, KOS US/LN, NOR NO, OKE NO, SENX LN, TXP LN/CN
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/LN)C; Target price of £3.80 per share: Removing oil price risk in 2021 - 1Q21 cashflow was negatively impact by a ~US$12 working capital movement that should be reversed on the upcoming period given that the c
Companies: AOI ALV CNE CNE CNE ENQ HUR KOS PEN PEN TAL SEN TETY TETY TXP EGY VLE
• Cash at the end of March has increased ~US$2.5 mm from YE20 to US$57 mm.
• Importantly this was achieved while the company ended the quarter in a 0.15 mmbbl underlift position. With higher oil prices taking two month to filter through to Tethys’ income statement, Tethys’ 1Q21 financials do not reflect the full positive impact of the strong oil price during 1Q21.
• With the reversal of the underlift position during 2Q21 and the payment by EOG of the residual proceeds associated with the transac
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C: Better deal than expected in EG – Increasing our target price from NOK30 to NOK34 per share – The acquisition of Tullow’s EG asset has now closed and Panoro has paid a final consideration of US$89 mm in line with the initial price announced earlier (US$90 mm). Panoro has also sold a 903 mbbl cargo in EG associated with historical production in 2H20 and 1Q21 for US$59 mm net to Panoro (after royalty). This amount corresponds to Panoro’s net entitlement
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Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target price of 1.90p: Perseverance well and balance sheet update – The overall final cost of the Perseverance #1 well in the Bahamas is expected to be ~US$45 mm, US$10 mm above initial budget. The higher cost reflects heightened Covid-19 procedures (~+US$3 mm) and side-tracking operations related to mechanical debris in the well (~+US$7 mm). We continue to estimate that cash will drop to US$6-7 mm when all the pending bills are paid. Thi
Companies: TXP CEG ENQ SDX SEN TETY TETY MAHAA LUPE 88E ALV VLE FEC
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Tethys Oil AB.
We currently have 32 research reports from 3
Jubilee today announce the full year results for FY 2021 ending in June 21. It was a year of continued progress with revenues up 143% to £133m (from FY 2020), adjusted PBT up 324% to £52m and eps up 93% to 1.8p/sh – an extraordinary year – but still only the beginning of the progression in our view. Continued developments in South Africa have led to a fully flexible chrome and chrome tailings solution at Inyoni. Supply from a wide variety of sources (Run-Of-Mine, new tailings from own operati
Companies: Jubilee Metals Group PLC
Friday's market sell off saw some violent downward moves in many stocks with little initial differentiation between sectors or the key drivers of businesses, creating significant share price drops in a number of higher quality or uncorrelated names. We take a look at some stocks we believe have either seen an unwarranted sell-off, have seen weakness go under the radar or where there is now a more attractive opportunity.
Companies: ANX IBPO CYAN SOM EQT AFM
Savannah today announces that it is amicably terminating its JV arrangement with Rio Tinto over the Mutamba Minerals Sands project in Mozambique. Savannah has been paid $9.5m (which translates into 0.4p/sh) in cash to relinquish the 20% it has earned in the project and will cease all activity in country. All staff will transfer to Rio Tinto.
Companies: Savannah Resources Plc
Across a broader market sell off EQTEC have shown resilience and is trading at 1.55p, above its placing in May, up 25% from one month ago.
Companies: EQTEC PLC
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Trinistar Liverpool S.a r.L announces its potential listing of a newly formed single asset company which will own the Capital Building in Liverpool on the IPSX. Upon admission the Company would become a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Capital Building occupies close to a 3.5 acre freehold site in the centre of Liverpool’s business district; the building comprises c425,000 square feet of predominantly of
Companies: ADBE ADBE SYM ARC AVCT CMCL CLIN DCTA FRAN OSI
We initiate coverage of Tungsten West Ltd (“TUN” or “the company”) with a GBp144/sh price target. TUN is focussed on the re-opening of the Hemerdon Tungsten Mine in Devon, UK, which was previously owned and operated by Wolf Minerals (UK) Ltd (“Wolf”). Since acquiring the project in Nov’19, TUN has resolved issues encountered by Wolf and optimised the project further with new revenue streams and technology. In March 2021 TUN produced a Bankable Feasibility Study (“BFS”) for Hemerdon, validated by
Companies: Tungsten West Plc
Cornish Metals has now released the results of 10 drillholes at its continuing exploration programme at United Downs near Camborne. Including two holes drilled on the property by Cornish Lithium the drilling shows up to 5 mineralised structures with a total of twenty-two individual mineralised intercepts.
Even though the area has been mined intermittently between the early 1700s and the late 20th century, the drilling evidence bodes well for the delineation of additional mineral resources wh
Companies: Cornish Metals Inc.
Initiating Coverage: Price Target 20p
Potential Beyond Tin
AfriTin Mining Limited (ATM) is one of only three listed tin producers in Western markets. It has a large (820km2) land package in Namibia comprising 5 prospective licenses of which the Uis mine is the most advanced and already in production. Near term growth is being delivered with an 80% increase in tin production between 2022 and 2024. However, this is only scratching the surface and there are more than conceptual plans being fo
Companies: AfriTin Mining Ltd.
Savannah Resources has sold its interest in the Mozambique mineral sands project (Mutamba) to JV partner Rio Tinto for $9.5m in cash. The payment has already been made to one of Savannah’s UK subsidiaries.
Given Barroso’s importance and capital requirements over the coming months, we view this as very good news. It allows management to dedicate all its time to Barroso and reduces future SAV equity dilution. Despite the strong lithium price and exceptional performance of ASX and TSX lithium sto
Savannah Resources is a hardrock lithium exploration and development company with a 100% interest in the Barroso Lithium Project in the Northern Portugal hosting 27mt at 1.06% Li2O for ~700kt LCE, the largest spodumene lithium resource in Western Europe. Project environmental permitting is currently in progress paving the way for the completion of the Feasibility Study and eventual project financing. The project benefits from the strategic location as Europe rapidly expands it Li-ion batteries a
i(x) Net Zero, the investing company which focusses on Energy Transition and Sustainability in the Built Environment, announces its intention to join AIM. Following Admission, the Company intends to use the net proceeds of the proposed Fundraising to provide development and expansion capital to certain of its investee companies, for future investments in companies that fall primarily within its areas of interest in Energy Transition and Sustainability in the Built Environment and to provide work
Companies: TGN AFC COIN COIN HL/ OMI
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG), the East Africa-focused gold producer has today announced a drilling update on its West Kenya Project (WKP) based on its Phase 2 drilling program which aims to infill 17 modelled zones across both Isulu and Bushiangala deposits up to 450-500m below surface. The Company has also reported drilling results from a regional exploration target, Ramula, where assays have been received from the first of 12 holes drilled, as part of the resource drill-out programme, totalling 451m
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
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Public Policy Holding Company, to join AIM. PPHC, through its wholly-owned companies, operates a portfolio of independent firms that offer public affairs, crisis management, lobbying and advocacy services on behalf of corporate, trade association and non-profit client organisations. Mkt Cap and Capital to be raised TBC. Expected admission date Mid Dec.
Libertine to join AIM. Libertine has developed a technolog
Companies: TRAK GAMA AAZ FNTL DPP
Deeside project update
Companies: Atlantic Lithium Limited.