GeoPark (GPRK US) C: Target of US$27 per share: Doubling quarterly dividend – The highlight of the 2Q21 results is the doubling of the quarterly dividend to US$0.041 per share. Following the refinancing of its debt, GeoPark had indicated previously its ambitions to increase distributions. 5-6 wells will be drilled at CPO-5 in Colombia by the end of 1Q22. This includes 2-3 wells in 4Q21 (including 1-2 exploration wells) and 3 wells in 1Q22 (including 2 exploration wells). The first exploration w
Companies: ALV ALV BP/ CNE CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI GENL GPRK GPRK GTE IHC OSH PXT STO SDX TGL VOG
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C; Restarting in Colombia. New team. New focus – Arrow Exploration is a C$7 mm market cap E&P focused on Colombia with 7 mmboe of 2P reserves and ~535 boe/d production. While many of the early stage companies of a decade ago such as GeoPark, Parex,, Canacol or Frontera have become larger independents, the environment for start-ups in Colombia remains fertile and Arrow is one of the few micro cap companies th
Companies: ALV AXL CNE CEG DEC ENI ENI EQNR EQNR GPRK GPRK I3E IHC JSE KOS OMV OMV PXT PESA BRDT3 REP REP RDSA UKOG
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)/Challenger Energy Group (CEG LN)C; Target of 1.20p per share: Completing financing – BPC has raised £6.9 mm of new equity. This is an important step for the company to fund the upcoming work programme. The key near term newsflow is the drilling of the saffran#2 appraisal well that could derisk ~11 mmbbl. The company has now changed its name to Challenger Energy and will trade under the ticker of “CEG LN”.
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price
Companies: CEG BP/ CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI FEC GPRK GPRK GTE HUR NOG PXT PGR RDSA SDX SNM TETY TETY
Calima Energy (CE1 CN) C; Target of A$0.035: Strong well performance supports our view that reserves are too conservative - Three wells (2 new wells and 1 re-entry), are currently producing a combined ~505 boe/d (80% oil weighted) on an IP30 basis, demonstrating the top tier economics of open hole Sunburst wells. The well performance so far exceeds by 28% what the company had budgeted. The cost of the wells was 20% under budget (total of C2.2 mm). Current production is ~ 2,81
Companies: ALV CE1 CNE FEC GENL GPRK GPRK GTE I3E PEN PEN PXT SNM TGL
SDX Energy (SDX LN)C; Target price of £0.40: West Gharib contract extended by 10 years to 2031 – The increases SDX’s share of reserves in West Gharib (2.2 mmbbl at YE19), by 60%. The company plans to commence in 2Q21 a drilling programme of up to twelve wells over the next three years with the goal of growing gross production back to ~3,000bbl/d. The terms of the extension includes a commitment to drill six wells by YE22. In addition, up to six additional wells would have to
Companies: AOI FEC PXT SDX SEPL SNM TETY TETY TXP
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target Price: £0.50: Successful US$100 mm bond raise opens new horizons – PetroTal has raised ~US$100 mm through a 3 year senior bond issue with a fixed coupon of 12% per year and a borrowing limit of US$125 mm. ~US$20 mm will be used to repay the US$16.6 mm derivative liabilities to Petroperu (formalized in November) and the US$2.9 mm government pandemic loan, while US$20 mm are earmarked to make acquisitions. The balance will be invested in th
Companies: NOG CASP RDSA ADX AKRBP ALV BP/ DNO ENQ JSE LUNE MAHAA OMV PXT TAL SEPL WEN
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target Price: 6.70p: Funding update – BPC has exercised a put option to raise £3.75 mm priced at 2p per share.
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C: Target Price increased from £0.45 to £0.50: US$100 mm bond to accelerate activities and grow production - PetroTal is launching a bond issue to raise US$100 mm. This would allow the firm to accelerate drilling and development activities at Bretana (~US$40 mm), clean up its balance sheet, put in place a hedging programme a
Companies: 88E CEG EQNR HUR LUNE PXT PHAR SNM TETY TETY TTE EGY WEN
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target: 6.7p: Exploration well spudded in the Bahamas - Drilling of the Perseverance #1 well has commenced. The well is anticipated to take 45 - 60 days to complete. Perseverance #1 is targeting P50 prospective oil resources of 0.77 bnbbl, with an upside of 1.44 bnbbl. Our unriksed NAV for the well is 15.3p per share (ReNAV of 3.8p per share) assuming 0.77 bnbbl. These numbers also assume that BPC retains only 25% of the value of the discovery – retention of
Companies: SAVE EGY COP CEG ADX CNE PXT RDSA SEN
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$20.00: Re-instating dividend and up to 10% Buy back - FY21 production guidance has been set at 40-42 mboe/d excluding any contribution from exploration/appraisal with US$100-120 mm capex at US$40-45/bbl. This includes US$95-115 mm in Colombia (US$30-35 mm for exploration/appraisal) and US$4-5 mm in Ecuador. FY21 operating net back is guided at US$210-280 mm. 3-4 exploration wells will be drilled at CPO-5, some of which will test the continuity of the Guadal
Companies: EGY AOI FEC GPRK I3E MAHAA PXT SNM TETY TETY TXP
SDX Energy (SDX LN)C; Target price £0.45 per share: Growing the prize, accelerating drilling - Sales in Morocco are now almost back to pre COVID 19 levels (90%). This is important for cash flow. SDX has now mapped additional prospects on the South Disouq license, resulting in gross prospective resources increasing by 139 bcf to 233 bcf. Drilling in Egypt is being accelerated to start in 2Q21 with two initial wells targeting 165 bcf, including the new Hanut prospect with 139 bcf gross prospective
Companies: UKOG TLW SDX REP PXT HBR PGR OMV MAHAA LUNE JKX HUR GTC DEC
GeoPark (GRPK US)C; Target price US$20: Cash tax reduction and high impact drilling– The only item of interest in the 2Q20 financials was the fact that GeoPark did not pay any cash tax in 2Q20 (we were carrying a payment of US$40 mm). This explains why the cash balance at the end of June was so much higher than we expected at the time of the 2Q20 operating update in July). This also reflects important positive changes in Colombia. First, US$20-25 mm cash taxes in 2020 have been deferred to 2021
Companies: BP/ FEC GENL GPRK I3E PXT PHAR HUR KOS MAHAA EGY
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target: £0.45: Initiating coverage – PetroTal is a production and reserve growth story in Peru with a market cap of ~£90 mm. Management’s experience of operating in the jungle and their deep in country relationships are key. Project execution has been excellent. The Bretaña field (48 mmbbl 2P reserves) was acquired from Gran Tierra in late 2017 with production of 1 mbbl/d achieved in 3Q18. By YE19 that figure had grown to >13 mbbl/d. While COVID-19 forced a shut down
Companies: SEN SDX TAL PGR VOG PXT SAVE RDSA FAR
In this note, we analyze the indebtedness of 35 international E&Ps publicly listed in the UK, Canada, Norway, Sweden and the USA. For each company, we look at (1) cash position, (2) level and nature of debt (including covenants), (3) debt service and principal repayment framework and (4) Brent price required from April to YE20 to meet all the obligations and keep cash positions intact. We also estimate YE20 cash if Brent were to average US$20/bbl from April to YE20. While the oil demand and oil
Companies: AKRBP AOI CNE CNE DEC EGY ENOG ENQ GENL GKP GPRK GTE HUR IOG JSE KOS LUNE MAHAA OKEA ORC/B PEN PHAR HBR TAL PXT RRE SDX SEPL TETY TGL TLW TXP WRL
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target: US$20 - Delivering more with less | Diversified Gas and Oil (DGOC LN): Acquisition in the US and US$87 mm equity raise | Gran Tierra Energy (GTE LN/CN): 1Q20 results| Parex Resources (PXT CN): 1Q20 results | Trinity Exploration and Production (TRIN LN): FY19 results | Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN): 1Q20 results | Condor Petroleum (CPI CN): 1Q20 results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): 1Q20 update and FY20 production guidance reduction | Serinus Energy (SEN LN): 1Q20 upda
Companies: KOS GPRK DEC GTE PXT TRIN TXP HBR SEN VLE CASP GENL PHAR SNM TGL AOI EGY
88 Energy (88 LN/AU)/Premier Oil (PMO LN): Drilling update in Alaska | Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas (ECO LN/EOG CN): Update in Guyana | Maha Energy (MAHA-A SS): Acquisition in USA and production update | Parex Resources (PXT CN): Low capex programme and production update in Colombia | Total (FP FP): Significant discovery in Suriname | Aker BP (AKERBP NO): Small discovery on Norway | BP (BP LN): 1Q20 update and capex reduction | Providence Resources (PVR LN): US$3 mm equity raise | RockRose Energy (R
Companies: 88E AKRBP BP/ CASP XOP DNO ENOG GENL GKP JKX MAHAA NOG HBR PXT PRP RDSA RRE TGL TLW UOG VLE
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Companies: Sylvania Platinum Ltd.
We are initiating coverage of VAST Resources (VAST), which has wholly-owned Baita Plai and Manaila polymetallic mines plus an interest in two exploration projects, all located in Romania. At this stage, Baita Plai is the main driver for our valuation as it is currently being ramped up to 14kt per month. As such, we expect Baita Plai’s Cu eq output to reach c 2.4ktpa in FY23F followed by 3.3ktpa in FY24F. This, coupled with Manaila’s potential re-start of an additional 3ktpa of Cu eq over the sho
Companies: Vast Resources plc
Phoenix copper today provides an update on its ground geophysical survey over the Red Star prospect near its Empire copper project in Idaho. The Red Star skarn mineralisation (lead and silver ± copper, zinc) is associated with magnetite; the survey just undertaken was to better understand the distribution and orientation of magnetite to find potential mineralisation and to inform the location and direction of a further drilling programme.
Companies: Phoenix Copper Ltd. (United Kingdom)
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
Today’s IPO of Tungsten West (TUN-LON) unlocks a valuable, long term revenue stream for Hargreaves. This comprises a £1m per annum fee (first payment next month) as well as a mining services contract once the mine recommences production. The resulting EPS upgrades are 6% and 7% in FY22 and FY23 respectively, followed by 9% in FY24 with the first partial contribution from the mining services contract. This continues Hargreaves’ impressive recent run of forecast upgrades and reinforces our convict
Companies: Hargreaves Services plc
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Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz. Offer TBA. Due early Nov.
Life Science REIT to join AIM raising up to £100m. This will be the first London listed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on UK life science properties providing investors with exposure
Companies: SYS1 ARE SO4 SNG TMG TMT OHG IDE KIBO MRL
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG) has, this morning, announced its production and operational results for the quarter ended 30th September 2021 – see Fig 1. Operationally this was a slightly weaker than expected quarter but very promising from the corporate side with a new five-year plan announced, an 0.10cps interim dividend announced and a resource update at the West Kenya Project (WKP).
QoQ production was flat at 14,194 oz and AISC rose to $1,480/oz caused by a temporary drop in grade as well as hig
Oil posted the longest stretch of weekly advances since 2015 as OPEC+ producers only modestly supply the market and as US crude supplies shrink.
Crude futures rose 1.5% Friday in New York, up for a ninth straight week. President Joe Biden said Thursday night that Americans should expect high gasoline prices to continue into next year because of supply being withheld by OPEC and other foreign oil producers. Stockpiles at the biggest US storage hub are draining to levels last seen when crude pr
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Trifast has released a good interim trading update ahead of its interim results due on 23 November. Overall trading has been in line with management expectations at “both revenue and profit levels” since the AGM update in July although this belies the strength of the Group's top line performance in our view. We remain buyers.
Companies: Trifast plc
Rio’s investors day was focused on two of the most critical mining industry thematics in today’s times, i.e. green and growth. The announced measures couldn’t have materialised at a better time, given the (recent) woes pertaining to governance and the iron ore market sell-off. Remember, considering Rio’s enviable balance sheet strength, it has the flexibility to pursue the targeted plans with rigorously and, at the same time, maintain ‘relative’ shareholder reward attractiveness. Hence, we reite
Companies: Rio Tinto plc
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) - BUY – 180p – 4.5c special dividend
BeMetals (BMET CN) –– Drilling commences at South Mountain, Idaho
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – BUY, valuation 102.5p – Progress of the La India feasibility study
Hochschild (HOC LN) - Hochschild to spin off rare earth assets
Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – BUY, fair value 10.7p - Ming mine underground drilling programme demonstrates grade and width improvements at depth
SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Tandayama-America initial resour
Companies: BMET AAZ CNR HOC RMM SOLG
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
Adriatic Metals (“ADT”) announced on 13th October that it has raised a cumulative US$244.5m (~£178m) via a combination of equity, senior debt and a copper stream. A total of ~49m new shares were issued at a price of GBp 1.5174/sh, which was a discount of ~11% to the 10-day WVAP price to 12th October. The main use of the proceeds is for the construction and working capital requirements of Adriatic’s fully permitted flagship Vareš project, which has a capital cost of US$168m as outlined in the Def
Companies: Adriatic Metals Plc Shs Chess Deposit Interests Repr 1 Sh
With the recent acquisition of producing assets in the US, Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) has started a new chapter in its existence and has already transformed its value proposition to investors. Following the recent operational developments, we are already seeing potential for a significant additional value accretion in the next 12 months, not only from the producing Barron Flats Unit (BFU), but from several other opportunities as well. The potentially better-than- expected production ramp
Companies: Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited