bet-at-home’s (BAH’s) Q221 results reflect the first signs of the revenue weakness in Germany that led to the recent downgrade to management’s guidance for FY21. H221 will bring further declines as the lower revenues in Germany are compounded by no revenue from Poland. FY22 should see improving operational momentum in Germany and potential new licences in the Netherlands and Poland may improve the growth outlook. The balance sheet remains strong but the legal position in Austria creates near-ter
Companies: bet-at-home.com AG
bet-at-home’s (BAH’s) reduced FY21 financial guidance, at the mid-point revenue down by c 6% and EBITDA by 55%, reflects likely temporary effects (in Germany and Poland), more permanent effects (Germany) and litigation where the outlook is uncertain. As the temporary issues are resolved, FY22 should see improving operational momentum in Germany and potential new licences in the Netherlands and Poland (H122) may improve growth.
bet-at-home’s (BAH) Q121 results are strong in the context of management guidance for FY21. Trading in the early part of FY21 is likely to be as bad as it gets for BAH. The initial (negative) effects of regulatory changes in Germany will be followed by a more favourable sporting calendar and management’s belief that increased legal certainty from Q321 will help the company to better plan and develop its business. Management is optimistic that regulated companies should be able to take share from
bet-at-home (BAH) is an established European online sports betting and e-gaming provider. It largely operates in unregulated grey markets that are characterised by strong cash flow, although they also carry commensurately higher regulatory risks. BAH enters FY21 with less regulatory uncertainty than it has for a number of years, as its largest market, Germany (c 36% of revenue) transitions to a fully regulated market. Following better than expected FY20 results we upgrade our FY21 EBITDA estimat
bet-at-home’s (BAH’s) Q320 results showed a strong increase in EBITDA of 27% whereas revenue continued to be affected by prior regulatory changes. After many years of uncertainty (and confusion), new regulations in Germany effective from July 2021 and transition regulations effective from the middle of October 2020 will broadly halve expectations for EBITDA next year. Despite the favourable award of a nationwide online sports betting licence to BAH, new restrictions to protect players, for examp
bet-at-home (BAH) is a long-established sports betting brand, successfully cross-selling into gaming. Despite the impact of COVID on sports betting and regulatory (Poland and Switzerland), the revenue (GGR) decline in Q220 of 11.2% was better than expected, with improved momentum from Q120 (13.4%). The resumption of sports events in the summer provides encouragement for the remainder of FY20. Regulatory risks remain high given impending changes in BAH’s most important market, Germany. The net ca
bet-at-home reported headline figures for H120 ahead of consensus expectations. The results are encouraging given revenue growth in Q220 was better than might have been expected with the regulatory changes (Poland and Switzerland) and the impact of COVID-19 on sports betting. Management has reiterated its guidance for FY20, and the strong financial position makes the prospective dividend yield of 7.0% look attractive.
Given the recent loss of revenue from Switzerland and the tough comparative of Q119, growth in Q120 was expected to be negative. The outbreak of COVID-19 and subsequent cancellation of many sporting events compounded the forecast negative growth rate. Comparatives become easier as the year progresses and management has acted quickly to reduce unnecessary costs, so the company’s guidance for FY20 has been reiterated. Our forecasts remain broadly unchanged. The prospective yield of 6.3%, which is
bet-at-home (BAH) is an established European online sports betting and e-gaming provider. It largely operates in unregulated grey markets that are characterised by strong cash flow, although they also carry commensurately higher regulatory risks. Upcoming legislation in Germany will provide clarity but will likely result in responsible gambling restrictions and potentially higher taxes. FY19 results were above our estimates but management has guided to a more conservative outlook for FY20 and w
After years of uncertainty, all 16 German states have agreed in principle that the July 2021 Gambling Treaty will include a unified approach to allowing e-gaming (casino and poker). This follows recent news that e-gaming was to be banned altogether. This new development is clearly a very positive step forward for the industry. The announcement is particularly important for bet-at-home (BAH), which derives c 20% of net gaming revenues (NGR) from German e-gaming. We will update our estimates at F
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Companies: Vertu Motors PLC
Vertu has delivered an impressive set of record H1 results, which showed strong volume outperformance and pricing discipline across all markets. We are raising our FY22 forecasts by 19% to reflect current management guidance and leave our FY23/24 forecasts unchanged for now. Our near term value per share increases to 86p implying a healthy risk reward profile from here.
Entain registered Q3 21 top-line growth of 6%, driven largely by online (10%). In the all-important US market, BetMGM surged ahead with a further expansion in market share of (23% in three months to August vs 22% in Q2 21).
FY21 EBITDA guidance of £850-900m was re-iterated, a positive given the recently announced headwinds from Dutch regulations.
We do not expect any significant change to our estimates, given that the performance was largely in line with our estimates.
Companies: Entain PLC
H1 trading was slightly ahead of expectations from a sales and margin perspective, with UK sales positive in Q2 after annualising very tough Q1 comps. Despite exceptional comps, a good proportion of the gross margin uplift has also been retained. G4M continues to minimise the impact of various global supply chain headwinds. and has good visibility of stock/availability for peak. It is therefore confident of hitting full year expectations. Recent de-rating looks unjustified, particularly given a
Companies: Gear4music (Holdings) PLC
Strong performance in H1 means full year EBITDA is now expected to be no less than £5.0m (£6.9m post-IFRS16), driving an EPS upgrade of over 20% while potentially still leaving risk to the upside depending on trading in the traditionally quieter Q4 season. This has been driven in part by further gross margin gains and operational enhancements where further strides are likely. Today’s other news relates to the launch of an in-territory EU fulfilment centre in spring 2022 which will facilitate maj
Companies: Angling Direct Plc
Marshall Motor Holdings (“MMH”) has today announced its £64.5m cash acquisition of Motorline Holdings Limited, a multi-franchise dealer group that operates 48 franchises operating across the South of England, representing ten brands. MMH has a long track record of successful execution and integration of acquisitions – we are confident that this “off market” transaction will complement MMH’s already strong and reliable platform. With our upgrade to FY21 earnings last week and the upside that this
Companies: Marshall Motor Holdings Plc
easyJet’s Q4 21 results were seemingly stronger than analysts’ expectations and the group upgraded its capacity schedule for Q1 22. As the COVID-19 border restrictions in the UK are lifting, a good trading performance has been seen in the past two weeks. We expect the consensus to be raised.
Companies: easyJet plc
G4M has delivered an H1 trading update in line with internal expectations against the very strong H1 trading performance last year and is on track to meet full-year consensus market expectations. UK sales performance was the stand-out feature, coming in flat on last year. Europe’s performance was hindered by post-Brexit challenges, down 16% on last year, though up 14% on a two-year view. Group sales are down 8% in aggregate, but up 31% on a two-year view. Gross margin has held up well, being dow
Companies: Loungers Plc
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
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Bens Creek Group to join Aim. Bens Creek, together with its subsidiaries, will, on Admission, own and operate a metallurgical coal mine located on 10,000 acres in the southern part of the state of West Virginia and eastern edge of the Commonwealth of Kentucky, in the central Appalachian Basin of the eastern United States of America. The Mine's operations are located primarily in Mingo County, West Virginia. The
Companies: CZA AXS ALS NSCI TAL SIM SPO THX
What a difference a year makes - 12 months ago, the focus, quite understandably, was on the course of the pandemic and the lifting of the Lockdown (1) measures. For investors, it was the sustainability of the rally in markets seen since March 2020. Today, while we are still thinking about the lifting of lockdown measures, we are also concerned about two “old favourites” from previous decades. Inflation and the parlous state of public finances. The BoE has said that although CPI inflation rose to
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Kingfisher reported better-than-expected figures at its H1 FY21/22 results, with lfl sales and adjusted PBT coming in ahead of market expectations and management’s guidance. Lfl sales outlook for H2 has been raised, the share buy-back programme re-introduced and the interim dividend increased. However, the share price was down c.5% today, as investors worried about inflationary cost pressures and supply chain constraints which are expected to continue into 2022. We will update our estimates and
Companies: Kingfisher Plc
Companies: 888 Holdings Plc